November 5, 2024

• The 2024 Election

  Welcome everyone to one of my favorite traditions (since 2008); chronicling the presidential election results!

   

  Going into tonight, we are looking at a number of facts about this election (beyond the obvious pertinent to policy):

   

  1. This is the 60^th Presidential Election in our history
  2. No woman has ever been elected president (let alone a woman of color)
  3. No person of Asian descent has ever been elected president
  4. Only one president has ever been elected to nonconsecutive terms, and that was Grover Cleveland, who won the 1884 and 1892 presidential elections
  5. Not since 1856 has a Democrat (James Buchanan) been elected to succeed an incumbent Democratic president (Franklin Pierce)
  6. Not since 1988 has a sitting Vice President (George H.W. Bush) been elected as president
  7. Not since 1984 has a Californian (Ronald Reagan) been elected president

   

  Today will be a day of many firsts. Stay tuned for the fun!

  7pm: Kentucky called for Trump and Vermont for Harris (Harris = 3/Trump = 8)

  7:06pm: Indiana for Trump (Harris = 3/ Trump = 19)

  7:30pm: West Virginia for Trump (Harris = 3/ Trump = 23)

  8pm: Florida, Missouri, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Alabama called for Trump with Maryland, D.C., and Massachusetts called for Harris (Harris: 27 / Trump: 90)

  8:13pm: South Carolina called for Trump over an hour after polls closed (Harris: 27/ Trump: 99)

  8:30pm: Arkansas called for Trump (Harris: 27/ Trump: 105)

  8:33pm: Delaware called for Harris (Harris: 30/ Trump: 105)

  9pm: Texas, Wyoming, North Dakota, and South Dakota called for Trump (Harris: 30/ Trump: 154)

  9:17pm: Louisiana and Mississippi called for Trump, Rhode Island for Harris (Harris: 34/ Trump: 168)

  9: 29pm: New York called for Harris (Harris: 62/ Trump: 168)

  9:40pm: Illinois called for Harris (Harris: 81/ Trump: 168)

  9:46pm: Ohio called for Trump (Harris: 81/ Trump: 185), the last time that Ohio didn’t choose the winner in two consecutive elections was in 1844 (Polk) and 1848 (Taylor).

  9:52pm: Kansas called for Trump (Harris: 81/ Trump: 191)

  10pm: Utah and Montana called for Trump (Harris: 81/ Trump: 201)

  10:10pm: Colorado called for Harris (Harris: 91/ Trump: 201)

  10:18pm: Iowa called for Trump (Harris: 91/ Trump: 207)

  10:35pm: Nebraska called for Trump (except districts 1 and 2) (Harris: 91/ Trump: 210)

  11pm: California called for Harris, Idaho for Trump (Harris: 145/ Trump: 214)

  11:07pm: Oregon called for Harris (Harris: 153/ Trump: 214)

  11:27pm: Washington and Connecticut called for Harris (Harris: 172/ Trump: 214)

  11:37pm: North Carolina called for Trump (Harris: 172/ Trump: 230)

  11:40pm: Virginia called for Harris (Harris: 185/ Trump: 230)

  12am (11/6/24): Hawaii called for Harris (Harris: 189/ Trump: 230)

  12:36am (11/6/24): Georgia called for Trump, marking the first flip from 2020 (Harris: 189/ Trump: 246)

  12:57am (11/6/24): New Mexico called for Harris (Harris: 194/ Trump: 246)

  1:53am (11/6/24): Nebraska’s 1^st Congressional District called for Trump (Harris: 194/ Trump: 247)

  2:06am (11/6/24): Pennsylvania called for Trump (Harris: 194/ Trump: 266) - as a personal note, I am going to predict that Trump will be elected. More thoughts on that later.

  • 6:27 pm
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